• I'm presenting at the 2015 ESPN/Sloan analytics conference!

    January 21, 2015

  • I found out this morning that I’ve been selected as one of a handful of people who will present their research at the ESPN/MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference on February 27-28. The paper I’m presenting is called “Assessing the offensive productivity of NHL players using in-game win probabilities.”...



  • Are NHL teams better or worse in must-score shootout situations?

    December 22, 2014

  • I wrote another article today for Deadspin. I look at whether scoring rates in NHL shootouts are different when the game is on the line. Here’s a snippet from the article:

    “A simple t-test, which evaluates whether these means are statistically distinguishable from each other, indicates that the...



  • Big update of game win probabilities app

    October 28, 2014

  • I’ve made some more big changes to my win probabilities app. The biggest change is that the app now will show the win prob graphs while games are still on-going. Here’s an example:

    The app also should now run a fair bit faster because I...



  • Redesign of Apps

    October 22, 2014

  • In the last few days I’ve worked to do a redesign of my individual game and playoff series win probability apps. Most of the stuff I’ve done to them as been aesthetic, although I’ve tweaked a few things that should make them run more effectively.

    Here’s a screenshot...



  • Is there a College Gameday curse?

    September 05, 2014

  • Last fall, my friend and fellow UGA grad (and Stanford political science PhD student) Lucas Puente and I started a project looking at whether college football teams play better or worse when they’re featured on ESPN’s College Gameday pregame show.

    The project is an expanded version of