• Does Brazil have a home field advantage?

    August 09, 2016

  • Check out my new article at FiveThirtyEight about the Olympics. My coauthor Danyel Reiche and I discuss our recent journal article in which we analyze whether Olympic host countries get a home-field advantage. We find that they do tend to win more medals in...

  • Conference about the Olympics at Harvard

    July 05, 2016

  • This Friday (July 8) I’m helping to organize a conference about the Olympic Games. It’s called Who will win in Rio? Understanding political, economic, and athletic success at the 2016 Olympic Games.

    The event will feature four academics who will present their research about the Olympics. Included are

  • Series Probabilities, Just in Time for the Playoffs

    April 13, 2016

  • With the playoffs starting this week, I’ve worked to update the playoff series win probability app. A few of the changes I’ve made is that the header of the graph now shows the current probabilities, instead of the current number of games won. I’ve also rewritten a lot of...

  • Win Probability App Updated!

    March 17, 2016

  • This afternoon I posted a major update to my in-game win probability app. I had been hosting it on a server that has been having issues, so I spent some time this weekend updating much of the underlying infrastructure of the app so that it runs better. An added...

  • There's So Much More Hitting in the NHL Playoffs

    April 15, 2015

  • You hear every year that playoff hockey is a whole different game from regular season hockey. If playoff hockey is so much more intense than regular season hockey, then we should probably be able to see evidence of in the play-by-play. I looked at hitting numbers for an...